Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.025624 0.027733 0.029845 0.032118 0.034489 0.036887 0.039493
2025-08-10 0.021474 0.024789 0.028232 0.032057 0.036171 0.040449 0.045218
2025-08-17 0.018743 0.022736 0.026994 0.031838 0.037159 0.042796 0.049186
2025-08-24 0.016816 0.021299 0.026190 0.031863 0.038203 0.045017 0.052843
2025-08-31 0.015113 0.019942 0.025326 0.031680 0.038889 0.046735 0.055847
2025-09-07 0.013730 0.018833 0.024637 0.031598 0.039601 0.048410 0.058736
2025-09-14 0.012325 0.017595 0.023711 0.031162 0.039841 0.049494 0.060912
2025-09-21 0.011107 0.016498 0.022878 0.030769 0.040073 0.050522 0.062982
2025-09-28 0.009728 0.015111 0.021623 0.029811 0.039590 0.050684 0.064025
2025-10-05 0.009264 0.014849 0.021708 0.030428 0.040932 0.052929 0.067433
2025-10-12 0.008687 0.014402 0.021535 0.030708 0.041855 0.054672 0.070254
2025-10-19 0.007961 0.013714 0.021024 0.030544 0.042223 0.055751 0.072291
2025-10-26 0.007504 0.013395 0.021005 0.031027 0.043427 0.057879 0.075639
2025-11-02 0.006837 0.012753 0.020551 0.030963 0.043971 0.059245 0.078124
2025-11-09 0.006172 0.012068 0.020005 0.030748 0.044306 0.060343 0.080279
2025-11-16 0.005655 0.011560 0.019664 0.030773 0.044918 0.061758 0.082797
2025-11-23 0.005111 0.010970 0.019184 0.030594 0.045256 0.062829 0.084896
2025-11-30 0.004646 0.010467 0.018796 0.030514 0.045702 0.064018 0.087127
2025-12-07 0.004112 0.009812 0.018165 0.030086 0.045690 0.064634 0.088660
2025-12-14 0.003637 0.009213 0.017584 0.029702 0.045712 0.065278 0.090215
2025-12-21 0.003056 0.008377 0.016619 0.028763 0.044996 0.064992 0.090628
2025-12-28 0.002922 0.008313 0.016785 0.029368 0.046272 0.067170 0.094030
2026-01-04 0.002716 0.008100 0.016718 0.029641 0.047114 0.068804 0.096771